Canada — As Christmas approaches, many Canadians are watching the weather for snow and a “white Christmas.”
A white Christmas means at least 2 centimetres of snow must be on the ground on December 25.
Early forecasts indicate a major winter weather system could influence snow chances nationwide.
This storm may determine whether snow remains on the ground on Christmas morning.
Snow Coverage Expected in Many Regions
Several parts of Canada have already seen snow this December.
Cold Arctic air has brought snow and below‑normal temperatures to large areas.
Western and central Canada, including the Prairies and much of interior British Columbia, already have substantial snow cover.
That increases the likelihood of snow still being present on Christmas morning.
Northern and interior regions like Yellowknife and Whitehorse typically see consistent snow by late December.
These areas almost always have a white Christmas due to their cold climates and early snowpack.
Varied Chances Across the Country
Not all regions have the same odds.
Southern coastal cities like Vancouver and Victoria have low chances due to milder winter conditions.
In contrast, cities like Winnipeg, Iqaluit, and Timmins often see snow cover by December 25.
Historical data shows these places have high probabilities of white Christmas mornings.
Southern Ontario and parts of Quebec could go either way.
Recent warm spells may reduce snow cover in some southern areas.
Storm Could Tip the Scales
Meteorologists say the next big winter storm may be key to Christmas snow.
If it brings additional snow and cold air, many regions may hold onto snow into the holiday week.
Without fresh snow or sustained cold, some southern areas may see slushy or green conditions instead.
That could leave parts of southern Canada without a traditional white Christmas.
Looking Ahead
Weather patterns can still change in the days before Christmas.
Experts recommend watching forecasts closely as the holiday approaches.
A white Christmas remains possible for much of Canada, especially in the north and interior.
However, chances vary widely depending on local conditions and new weather systems.