A new survey shows fewer Canadian snowbirds plan to visit the U.S. this winter as stricter border rules and heightened scrutiny raise travel concerns.
Fewer Snowbirds Heading South as U.S. Tightens Rules
Survey Points to Declining Interest
A new industry survey suggests a notable drop in the number of Canadian snowbirds planning winter travel to the United States. According to Snowbird Advisor, which polled 4,000 frequent seasonal travellers, only 70% intend to head south this year—down from 82% last winter. The findings reflect shifting sentiment as many Canadians reconsider U.S. travel amid heightened regulatory pressures.
New Requirements Reshape Winter Travel
Travel behaviour is changing largely due to new U.S. rules targeting long-term visitors. Under an executive order introduced early in President Donald Trump’s second term, travellers staying more than 30 days must formally register with the U.S. government. Immigration attorney Ksenia Tchern McCallum, licensed in both Canada and the United States, says the updated framework is already reshaping expectations at the border.
Border Scrutiny Expected to Increase
Travellers who proceed with their plans can expect stricter checks upon entry. Tchern McCallum notes that U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers face increased pressure under ongoing immigration crackdowns. She advises Canadians to carry thorough documentation—including financial records, insurance policies, and return itineraries—to demonstrate that they remain anchored to Canada and intend to return home. Failing to comply with new rules could carry hefty fines or even jail time, she warns.
Shifting Relations Influence Travel Choices
The travel downturn also aligns with cooling diplomatic relations between Canada and the U.S. Trump’s recent threats of tariffs and annexation have prompted some Canadians to boycott cross-border travel entirely. Statistics Canada reported that U.S. passenger traffic dropped to 1.2 million travellers in October, an 8.9% decline year-over-year and the ninth consecutive month of falling numbers.
Canadians Look Beyond the U.S.
While fewer Canadians are planning U.S. trips, interest in overseas destinations is rising. Snowbird Advisor reports that 23% of respondents plan to travel internationally this winter—nearly double last year’s figure. President Stephen Fine says this will be the first season to fully reflect Canadians’ response to escalating diplomatic tensions and regulatory changes.
Longtime Travellers Reconsider Plans
For some seasoned snowbirds, the decision has already been made. Cobourg, Ontario retiree Bob Bloomer, who spent two decades wintering in Orlando for golf season, cancelled his trip in March and says he will not return as long as Trump remains in office. “Not going back,” he said, echoing a sentiment shared by many frustrated travellers.
