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PM Mark Carney sets goal to double Canada’s non-U.S. exports amid U.S. tariff tensions

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Prime Minister Mark Carney has set an ambitious target to double Canada’s non-U.S. exports over the next decade, warning that the country can no longer depend on its southern neighbour for economic stability.

Speaking in Toronto ahead of his government’s Nov. 4 budget release, Carney said that decades of deep integration with the U.S. economy have left Canada vulnerable to tariffs and policy swings.

“Many of our former strengths — based on close ties to America — have become vulnerabilities,” Carney said. “We have to take care of ourselves because we can’t rely on one foreign partner.”

U.S. tariffs strain key Canadian industries

Carney’s remarks follow escalating trade tensions with the U.S., where President Donald Trump has imposed or threatened new tariffs on autos, steel, lumber, and aluminum, while claiming Canada could be “the 51st state.”

“The jobs of workers in our industries most affected by U.S. tariffs — autos, steel, lumber — are under threat,” Carney said. “Our businesses are holding back investments, restrained by uncertainty.”

He added that the U.S. has “fundamentally changed its approach to trade,” with tariff levels now comparable to those seen during the Great Depression.

Diversifying toward Asia and emerging markets

Carney said his government will pursue aggressive export diversification, naming India and China as top priorities for new trade and investment.

More than 75% of Canada’s exports currently go to the U.S., and the country’s free trade agreement is up for review in 2026, adding further uncertainty to cross-border commerce.

Canada’s energy and resource leverage

Calling Canada an “energy superpower,” Carney highlighted the nation’s global ranking — third in oil reserves and fourth in natural gas — and its strategic importance to the U.S.

  • 60% of U.S. crude oil imports come from Canada

  • 85% of U.S. electricity imports are Canadian

  • Canada is the largest foreign supplier of steel, aluminum, and uranium to the U.S.

Carney also pointed to Canada’s 34 critical minerals sought by the Pentagon, underscoring Ottawa’s continued leverage in strategic materials.

‘Transformation will take sacrifice’

Carney cautioned that the shift away from U.S. dependence won’t be easy.

“We won’t transform our economy easily or in a few months — it will take sacrifices and time,” he said.

Despite some easing of tensions in recent months, Canada’s prime minister signalled that the era of one-sided reliance on the U.S. economy is over, marking a decisive turn in Canada’s trade and foreign policy strategy.

Summerland winery says imported fruit hurting B.C. grape growers as exemption extended

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A Summerland, B.C. winery is warning that a provincial policy allowing imported grapes is squeezing local growers, despite being introduced to help the wine industry recover from last year’s devastating freeze.

The government’s temporary exemption — first introduced after the 2024 cold snap destroyed much of the Okanagan’s crop — lets wineries import grapes from outside Canada. The measure was meant as a short-term lifeline but was extended earlier this year, prompting frustration among small producers.

Local growers say imports displacing B.C. fruit

“Fruit from Washington has displaced fruit grown here in B.C.,” said Jesse Gill, owner of Back Door Winery in Summerland. “The cost of imported grapes is a fraction of what they’d pay locally.”

Gill says he’s currently storing about 160 tonnes of unsold grapes from six Okanagan wineries that could go to waste. “We’re still getting inquiries, we’re turning people away at this point,” he said.

In response, Gill launched a ‘Save the Grape’ campaign, producing a special vintage using leftover Okanagan fruit.

Industry group defends policy as supply-driven

However, Jeff Guignard, CEO of Wine Growers BC, says the imports are filling unavoidable supply gaps, not displacing local crops.

“If you look at what’s being brought in, we’re really only importing varieties that aren’t available in B.C.,” Guignard said. “Someone’s importing Syrah or Sauvignon Blanc because there’s none available locally.”

Guignard added that the industry has already purchased a record volume of local grapes this year and is helping find buyers for remaining stock.

Province urges wineries to prioritize local grapes

In a statement, Agriculture Minister Lana Popham reaffirmed that participating wineries must continue prioritizing B.C.-grown fruit.

“We’ve been clear that wineries are expected to prioritize local grapes over sourcing out-of-province grapes for replacement wines,” she said.

Still, producers like Gill argue that the policy’s extension tilts the market in favour of cheaper imports, threatening to erode the identity of B.C.’s wine industry — built on the character of Okanagan-grown fruit.

As he bottles his “Save the Grape” blend, Gill hopes it will serve as both a statement and a call to action: to keep B.C. wine truly local.

Canada launches first critical minerals projects under G7 alliance to cut China’s dominance

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Canada has announced the first slate of 25 projects under the G7 critical minerals partnership, marking a coordinated move to challenge China’s near-total dominance over global mineral supply chains.

The initiatives include offtake agreements for a graphite mine in Quebec and new investments in rare earth refining in Ontario — key steps toward securing Western control over materials vital to electric vehicles, batteries, and clean-tech manufacturing.

“These first initiatives are a clear signal that the G7 is serious about reducing concentration risks, safeguarding national security, and driving investment,” said Energy and Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson during the announcement on Friday.

“Every delay is a concession of economic and national security interests. We will no longer accept that,” Hodgson said.

Countering China’s grip on key minerals

According to the International Energy Agency, China controls roughly 70% of global refining for 19 of 20 key critical minerals — and 91% for rare earth elements used in EV motors, advanced radar systems, and clean energy technologies.

Although Beijing agreed to temporarily pause export controls on some rare earths as part of a deal with Washington this week, U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the moratorium underscores the need for self-reliance within the G7.

“China used non-market practices to squish the rest of the industry,” Wright said at the Toronto meetings. “Everybody sees that now.”

Key Canadian projects announced

Among the headline initiatives:

  • Nouveau Monde Graphite’s Matawinie Mine near Montreal received federal and private-sector offtake agreements from Panasonic and Traxys, securing future graphite supply for EV batteries.

  • Vianode, a Norwegian company, will build a synthetic graphite plant in St. Thomas, Ontario, supported by up to $500 million in potential financing from Export Development Canada. The company already holds a multibillion-dollar supply contract with General Motors.

  • Ucore Rare Metals, based in Kingston, Ontario, was conditionally approved for $36 million in federal funding to expand its refinery processing samarium and gadolinium, both used in nuclear and MRI technologies.

Graphite and rare earths are crucial to lithium-ion batteries and clean-energy infrastructure, sectors where demand is projected to surge sharply through 2040.

A report by the Canadian Climate Institute estimated the country will need $30 billion in new capital investments by that time just to meet domestic mineral demand.

Canada at the centre of G7 minerals strategy

University of Ottawa professor Wolfgang Alschner said the G7 meetings positioned Canada “at the centre of the minerals discussion,” but cautioned that the effort remains project-focused rather than policy-driven.

“Much policy work remains to be done,” Alschner said, citing the need for unified market standards and transparent governance frameworks.

The new alliance, he added, nonetheless signals a “defining shift” — with Canada emerging as a bridge between North American industry and global partners seeking to secure the raw materials for the world’s energy transition.

Día de Muertos in Quebec: Mexican community keeps traditions — and memories — alive

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Across Quebec, members of the Mexican diaspora are keeping centuries-old traditions alive this Día de Muertos — a vibrant, reflective holiday that celebrates life, death, and memory.

In Boucherville, Karla Frey spent weeks building her ofrenda, or altar, to honour loved ones who’ve passed. This year, it included photos of her five-year-old neighbour and his mother, both killed in a recent car crash.

“He loved my ofrenda, and I made it a little bit for him, too,” Frey said.

Her altar glows with candles, cempasúchil (marigolds), papel picado, mezcal, and pan de muerto — each symbol inviting spirits home. For Frey, it’s more than ritual; it’s a bridge between Mexico City and Quebec, between past and present.

Honouring life through remembrance

The Day of the Dead, rooted in Indigenous traditions, runs from late October to early November. Families across Mexico — and now Quebec — decorate homes, cemeteries, and community spaces to welcome back the dead with love and colour.

In Gatineau, Gerardo Familiar Ferrer recreates this spirit at UNAM-Canada’s immersive exhibit, where visitors walk through a replica cave filled with copal incense, marigolds, candles, and symbolic dogs (Xoloitzcuintle) said to guide souls.

“For Indigenous peoples of Mexico, caves are a bridge between the afterlife and the living world,” said Ferrer, whose altar includes the names of family members lost.

A festival of connection and healing

In Montreal, Rafael Benitez, co-founder of PAAL Partageons le monde, channels his grief through the city’s Día de Muertos Festival, now a growing space for intercultural exchange.

“It helped me understand my mother’s transition to another stage of life,” said Benitez, who lost his sister and mother.

This weekend’s edition features ten themed altars celebrating Indigenous resilience — from Mexico’s Comcáac people to Quebec’s Kanien’kehá:ka — emphasizing unity through shared ancestral remembrance.

‘It’s a joyful day, not sad’

Despite its name, Día de Muertos is anything but somber. For participants, it’s a moment of gratitude, reflection, and celebration.

“It’s a joyful day,” said Frey. “I want my daughters to see how much I love — so when the time comes, they’ll know I want to be there.”

Each year, her altar stands as both a tribute and a lesson: that remembering the dead is a way to keep them alive — and to remind the living not to fear death, but to cherish life.

Dodgers defeat Blue Jays 3–1 in Game 6 to set up World Series decider in Toronto

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The Los Angeles Dodgers have forced a dramatic Game 7 in the 2025 World Series, defeating the Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 at Rogers Centre on Friday night after capitalizing on a single three-run rally in the third inning.

The Blue Jays, who had a chance to clinch their first title in over three decades, missed multiple scoring opportunities, leaving eight runners stranded and failing to convert key at-bats in the late innings.

Dodgers seize momentum early

L.A. ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto delivered six solid innings, scattering five hits, allowing one run, and striking out six. He credited a more careful pitch mix for containing Toronto’s lineup.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers struck in the third inning when Will Smith doubled to bring home the opening run. Moments later, Mookie Betts broke out of a slump with a clutch two-RBI single after Shohei Ohtani was intentionally walked.

That single frame provided all the offence Los Angeles needed.

Jays’ missed chances and heartbreak

Toronto’s frustration peaked in the ninth inning when Addison Barger’s drive to the gap lodged under the outfield wall for a ground-rule double — erasing what looked like a two-run play. Moments later, Barger was picked off second base, snuffing out the rally.

Manager John Schneider called it “a tough break,” noting, “I’ve been here a long time — haven’t seen a ball get lodged, ever.”

The Jays also wasted prime scoring chances in the sixth and eighth innings, with Bo Bichette and Daulton Varsho failing to cash in runners in scoring position.

Ohtani factor and Game 7 outlook

Ohtani again proved pivotal — drawing a walk that sparked the Dodgers’ rally and setting the stage for Betts’ crucial hit.

For Toronto, Kevin Gausman was otherwise brilliant, tossing six innings of one-hit baseball aside from the costly third.

Now, all eyes turn to Saturday’s Game 7, where veteran Max Scherzer will start for Toronto, while Dodgers manager Dave Roberts hinted Ohtani could pitch in relief.

“It’s gonna be fun — three or four hours of mayhem and great baseball,” Schneider said. “These guys are going to be ready for it.”

After Friday’s heartbreak, the 2025 MLB champion will be decided in one final showdown at Rogers Centre.

Over half of Toronto and Ottawa students lack up-to-date vaccination records, public health warns

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More than half of Toronto and Ottawa students assessed this year do not have up-to-date vaccination records, revealing serious flaws in Ontario’s outdated reporting system, according to local public health units.

Toronto Public Health said it sent about 60,000 reminder letters over the summer to students in Grades 2–5 whose records were incomplete. As of early October, 54% — roughly 50,000 students — remain non-compliant, facing suspension notices if updates aren’t received soon.

In Ottawa, about 16,000 students in Grades 2 and 12 — more than two-thirds of those assessed — were also missing vaccination documentation, officials confirmed.

Under Ontario’s Immunization of School Pupils Act, students must be vaccinated against nine diseases to attend school. But the current process requires parents to manually submit records to local health units, creating confusion and gaps.

Outdated system, declining rates

Public health experts warn that the cumbersome, paper-based process — often involving tracking down old yellow cards or clinic printouts — means official databases are incomplete and vaccination coverage is uncertain.

“It’s not the ideal process,” said Dr. Michelle Murti, Toronto’s Medical Officer of Health. “We need providers to be able to input records directly into a central registry.”

The call comes as Canada’s vaccination rates continue to decline, and health agencies warn the country risks losing its measles-free status after more than 5,000 cases were reported in the past year.

Push for a digital vaccine registry

Ontario’s top doctor Dr. Kieran Moore and other experts, including Dr. Kumanan Wilson in Ottawa, have long advocated for a provincial or national digital vaccine registry.
The Ministry of Health says it is developing a tool to give Ontarians online access to their vaccination data, but no launch timeline has been announced.

Toronto family physician Dr. Milena Forte described the system as “a duplication of effort.” Parents often spend hours contacting clinics to verify shots that are already up to date, she said.

“It’s creating extra work when we could be counselling families on other health issues,” Forte added.

Students face suspensions amid confusion

In the 2024–25 school year, Toronto suspended more than 6,000 students over missing vaccine documentation, with 4,400 still suspended by the second day.

Hamilton’s public health unit also sent 22,000 warning letters last year, suspending about 6,400 students after records were not provided.

Parents and experts alike say the manual system no longer fits modern needs.
“It’s ludicrous that we don’t have a consolidated record,” said Hamilton parent Joe Crampton. “In any other system, data would be shared securely — not typed from a yellow card.”

As Ontario scrambles to modernize, public health officials warn that without digital integration, vaccination rates — and public trust — may keep falling.

Fired Saskatoon police officer charged with assault after hot tub party scandal

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Former Saskatoon police tactical team officer Dylan Kemp, who was fired earlier this year after an off-duty hot tub party led to internal misconduct probes, has now been charged with assault, according to Saskatchewan’s Serious Incident Response Team (SIRT).

Kemp was arrested, charged, and later released on Thursday. He is scheduled to appear in Saskatoon Provincial Court on November 27, a SIRT news release confirmed.

Although SIRT did not name him directly, multiple sources confirmed his identity to CBC News.

Investigation followed off-duty party scandal

The charge stems from a September 2024 backyard party hosted by Kemp, who at the time was a member of the Emergency Response Team. According to officers who spoke with CBC, a junior female officer was allegedly physically assaulted during the event — she is now the complainant in the assault charge.

It was also alleged that a member of an outlaw motorcycle gang attended the party, raising concerns about the security of the undercover program. Police Chief Cameron McBride later stated no undercover operations were compromised.

Following internal reviews, three officers were fired, including Kemp, while two others faced suspensions. The Saskatoon Police Service subsequently updated its conflict of interest policy to forbid officers from associating with individuals “deemed undesirable” when such ties risk the integrity of the force.

The Quiet Fight podcast

Despite being under investigation, Kemp and fellow dismissed officer Jason Garland launched a podcast in May 2025 titled The Quiet Fight, described as “a show that talks honestly about what the job does to your mind, body, and identity as a man.”

The podcast, which avoided identifying the hosts as police officers, focuses on topics like burnout, trauma, and life beyond the badge. CBC’s coverage of the show later revealed their identities, confirmed by multiple officers.

The podcast’s YouTube channel currently has 254 subscribers and 19 episodes on Spotify. Both Kemp and Garland are appealing their dismissals.

The Saskatoon Police Association, representing over 600 members, confirmed both remain part of the association while their appeals are pending.

Pierre Poilievre to use notwithstanding clause on child porn ruling

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Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says a future Conservative government would invoke the notwithstanding clause to overturn the Supreme Court’s recent decision striking down mandatory minimum sentences for accessing or possessing child pornography.

The top court’s 5–4 ruling on Friday found that one-year minimum prison terms for such offences were unconstitutional, citing the risk of “grossly disproportionate punishment.” The decision immediately drew sharp backlash from federal and provincial leaders.

“This ruling is wrong-headed,” Poilievre told CBC News. “My future government will reintroduce mandatory prison sentences for possession of child pornography so that dirtbags like this go away for a very long time.”

Supreme Court divided on mandatory minimums

The ruling stemmed from two Quebec cases where men were convicted of possessing hundreds of abusive images of children, some as young as three. Both challenged their sentences, arguing the Criminal Code’s minimum term violated the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Writing for the majority, Justice Mary Moreau said the law failed to account for the wide range of scenarios that can lead to conviction — from organized offenders to impulsive young adults receiving unsolicited files online.

The dissenting justices, Richard Wagner and Suzanne Côté, argued for upholding the one-year minimum, saying sentences for sexual offences against minors must reflect society’s “deep and rightful indignation.”

Provincial premiers back Poilievre’s stance

Premiers Danielle Smith (Alberta), Doug Ford (Ontario), and Scott Moe (Saskatchewan) joined Poilievre in condemning the ruling and urged Ottawa to invoke the notwithstanding clause.

“These people are predators,” Ford wrote. “Disgusting scumbags who prey on children belong behind bars for the rest of their miserable lives.”

Smith called the majority decision “outrageous,” saying even a one-year minimum was “far too lenient,” while Moe argued that “elected legislators, not unelected judges,” should make laws on sentencing.

Ottawa reviewing implications

A spokesperson for Attorney General Sean Fraser said the federal government is “carefully reviewing” the decision.

“Crimes that exploit or abuse children are among the most serious and reprehensible in our society,” said Lola Dandybaeva, adding that offenders “should face the toughest penalties Canadian law allows.”

The Canadian Centre for Child Protection, which intervened in the case, said the outcome aligns with past rulings against mandatory minimums but welcomed the court’s recognition of the growing harm caused by child exploitation material and AI-generated abuse.

If elected, Poilievre’s proposed move would mark the first federal use of the notwithstanding clause, which allows Parliament or provinces to override certain Charter rights for up to five years.

Rising Infant Formula Costs Worsen Food Insecurity in Ottawa

Ottawa Public Health report reveals costly infant formula deepening food insecurity, with one in four families struggling to afford basic nutrition.

Rising Infant Formula Costs Fuel Ottawa Food Insecurity

Growing Challenge for Ottawa Families

A new report from Ottawa Public Health (OPH) shows that one in four families in the city is experiencing some form of food insecurity. The findings, part of the 2025 Monitoring Food Affordability in Ottawa report, mark a 10 per cent increase in food-insecure households since 2020, reflecting the growing strain of inflation on local families.

Formula Expenses Exceed Support Levels

For the first time, OPH examined the monthly cost of infant formula, calculating an average of $189—well above the $145 monthly benefit provided through the Ontario Works Special Diet Allowance.
“It’s another piece of data showing financial challenges and why people can’t make ends meet,” said Emily Coja, a senior public health nutritionist who led the research.

Gaps in Nutrition Support Programs

The report also found that additional food costs linked to pregnancy and breastfeeding far exceed current social assistance. Pregnant women spend an average of $96 extra per month, while breastfeeding mothers spend $78, yet the Pregnancy/Breastfeeding Nutrition Allowance offers only $40. OPH concluded that this gap leaves many new parents struggling to afford adequate nutrition.

Decline in Breastfeeding Rates

Exclusive breastfeeding rates have dropped sharply—from 66 per cent in 2013 to 48 per cent in 2024. Registered nurse Kristina Dunkley explained that barriers such as physical difficulties, psychological stress, and workplace pressures often make breastfeeding unfeasible.
“Formula or breast milk are the only options for infants under 12 months,” she said, noting that access to affordable formula is a health equity issue.

Impact on Marginalized Communities

The report also highlights disparities in food insecurity. Nearly 47 per cent of Black households and 40 per cent of Indigenous households in Ottawa experience food insecurity—figures tied to systemic racism and the lasting effects of colonialism.
Belal El-Cheikh, food security manager at Tungasuvvingat Inuit, said formula shortages are frequent. “We often have to use our own funds to purchase formula, spending tens of thousands of dollars each month,” he said.

Families Facing Difficult Trade-Offs

Some families unable to afford formula may introduce solid foods earlier or switch to whole milk—choices that can compromise infant nutrition, Dunkley warned. “We know those options don’t meet the complete nutrient needs of infants,” she added.

Next Steps for Policymakers

The Ottawa Board of Health will review the report on Monday. Recommended actions include raising awareness about food insecurity, expanding collaboration with community partners, and reassessing financial supports for low-income families.
Public health experts hope the data will spur policy changes ensuring nutritious food and infant formula remain accessible to every Ottawa household.

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5 Fun Things to Do in Waterloo Region This Weekend

Explore fall fun across Waterloo Region this weekend! From Diwali and pumpkin parades to soup festivals and Halloween events, there’s something for everyone.

Kate’s Top Weekend Picks: Fun Fall Events Across Waterloo

A Weekend Full of Fall Fun

As October turns to November, the Waterloo region is buzzing with seasonal festivities. From Halloween celebrations and World Series watch parties to Diwali and local markets, residents have plenty of ways to enjoy the weekend.

Halloween and Baseball Share the Spotlight

Friday night brings double excitement: Halloween trick-or-treating and Game 6 of the World Series, where the Toronto Blue Jays continue to thrill Canadian fans. Several local watch parties are planned across Kitchener and Waterloo. Families are reminded to watch for children out collecting candy.

Community Health and Culture on Saturday

On Saturday, families can attend a free child health fair hosted by the YMCA of Three Rivers and Early Years Child Care Navigators at the Williamsburg Community Centre in Kitchener. The event features developmental screenings for children under six, health resources, and drop-in access.

Meanwhile, Nith Valley Ecoboosters host a Repair Café in New Hamburg (10 a.m.–1 p.m.) to help residents fix household items, while RIM Park in Waterloo transforms into a festive marketplace for the Very Merry Market (10 a.m.–3 p.m.), featuring local artisans and early holiday shopping.

Soups, Strolls, and Local Sports

At McDougall Cottage in Cambridge, visitors can join a Soup and Stroll event Saturday, blending warm Scotch Broth soup with a guided tour of Galt’s architecture. Registration is required.
Also Saturday, the Kitchener Rangers host the Sudbury Wolves before heading to Brampton Sunday, while the Guelph Storm face the Sarnia Sting at home at 2 p.m.

Sunday Celebrations: Diwali and Soup for a Cause

Sunday afternoon brings cultural celebration with the Huron Cultural Diwali Event at Breslau Community Centre (12:30–4 p.m.), showcasing music, food, and traditional festivities.
For food lovers, Sensational Elora’s Soup Off and Empty Bowls fundraiser offers soup tastings from local chefs to support the Centre Wellington Food Bank.

Honouring Traditions: Día de los Muertos

Downtown Kitchener hosts a vibrant Día de los Muertos (Day of the Dead) celebration Saturday from 11 a.m. to 8 p.m. Festivities begin at the Kitchener Market, followed by a colourful parade down King Street to City Hall. The event features live music, ofrendas (altars), traditional food, and performances celebrating life and remembrance.

Pumpkin Parades Light the Night

Post-Halloween, pumpkin parades will illuminate local parks Saturday evening.

  • Rockway Gardens Pumpkin Parade (Kitchener, 6–8 p.m.)
  • Downtown Cambridge Pumpkin Walk (6–9 p.m.)
  • Fiddlesticks Community Centre Pumpkin Walk (6:30 p.m.)
  • Art Gallery of Guelph Pumpkin Display (12–8 p.m.)
  • Pumpkin Promenade at Tytler School, part of the Haunted Halls event ($2 admission).

Each event collects pumpkins for composting and local farms — a sustainable way to end spooky season.

Time Change Reminder

As festivities wind down, remember to set clocks back one hour early Sunday morning as daylight saving time ends.

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Halloween Candy Shrinks—but Prices Stay the Same

Some Halloween candy multipacks in Canada have quietly shrunk while prices stay the same, raising consumer concerns over shrinkflation.

Canadians Notice Smaller Candy Packs

This Halloween, Canadian shoppers may find their favourite treats looking familiar — but lighter. A Maple News Wire analysis of 2024 and 2025 retail ads reveals that Mars Inc. and The Hershey Company have reduced the weight of several popular Halloween chocolate multipacks by as much as 17 percent, without lowering prices.

Though the number of mini-bars in each box remains the same, their total weight has dropped significantly. A Mars “fun-size” 65-bar box that weighed 782 grams in 2024 now weighs 672 grams — a 14 percent decrease. Hershey’s 50-mini-bar pack is also down 6.2 percent in weight, while its 100-bar pack shrank 3.8 percent.

Both companies say they occasionally update their product sizes and assortments to “reflect consumer preferences,” but they did not provide specific reasons for the reductions.

Rising Cocoa Costs Behind the Change

Global cocoa prices have more than doubled over the past two years, driven by extreme weather in West Africa, the world’s leading cocoa-producing region. Poor harvests have cut supply, pushing costs higher for chocolate makers.

“Sometimes those farmers don’t have the financial capacity to replant after a bad season, which limits global supply,” explained Jordan LeBel, a food marketing professor at Concordia University. “Companies then face higher costs, and shrinkflation becomes one way to protect margins.”

According to Statistics Canada, confectionery prices increased 10 percent nationwide over the past year, amplifying pressure on producers already coping with expensive ingredients.

The Quiet Cost of Shrinkflation

Consumer advocates argue that shrinkflation is misleading, as it hides a price increase behind familiar packaging. “It’s not really transparent,” said Sylvie De Bellefeuille, a lawyer with Option Consommateurs. “If Canadians knew a product had been downsized, they could make better-informed decisions.”

While Mars and Hershey emphasize value and variety, consumer groups say the changes highlight the need for better disclosure when products shrink. The practice, they add, is particularly concerning as Canadians continue to face elevated grocery costs.

Calls for Clearer Labeling

Several countries, including France and Brazil, already require stores to alert customers when a product’s weight or volume decreases. Advocates want Canada to follow suit by mandating temporary labels or shelf notices when downsizing occurs.

“If companies want to sell a smaller product for the same price, that’s their choice,” said De Bellefeuille. “But they should be upfront about it for a certain period of time.”

However, Professor LeBel notes that enforcing such transparency could be complicated. “How will regulators police it, and what penalties would apply?” he asked.

Federal Oversight Underway

The federal grocery task force, created in 2023, has been investigating shrinkflation as part of a broader review of retail practices affecting consumers. Innovation, Science and Economic Development (ISED) Canada confirmed that it has funded multiple studies into pricing tactics and transparency in the food sector.

ISED also promotes public tools like the Food Price Data Hub, designed to help Canadians compare grocery prices and track packaging changes over time.

What It Means for Shoppers

For now, experts advise Canadians to check product weights and unit prices before buying Halloween candy or other grocery staples. While shrinkflation may help manufacturers weather supply challenges, consumers ultimately shoulder the cost.

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Canada’s economic slide deepens with 0.3 % GDP drop

Canada’s GDP fell 0.3% in August, but early estimates show slight growth in Q3—raising hopes the country avoided recession despite ongoing tariff pressures.

August slump hits output

Canada’s economy contracted 0.3 per cent in August, unexpectedly reversing the 0.3 per cent growth recorded in July, according to Statistics Canada. This marks the fourth monthly drop in five months and wipes out growth so far in the current quarter.

Industries driving the decline

Both goods and services sectors weighed on the downturn. On the goods side, manufacturing slid 0.5 per cent while mining, quarrying and oil-and-gas extraction fell 0.7 per cent, including a 1.2 per cent drop in metal-ore mining and a 5 per cent fall in coal mining. On the services side, transportation and warehousing (affected by an airline strike) and wholesale trade pulled back, though retail trade and real estate helped mitigate the drop.

Early signs of quarter-end recovery

Despite the August decline, preliminary data suggest the economy could rebound modestly in September. An advance indicator shows monthly GDP may expand 0.1 per cent in September, which would translate to annualized growth of approximately 0.4 per cent for the third quarter—enough for Canada to avoid a technical recession (defined as two consecutive quarterly contractions).

Trade tensions still weighing

The contraction follows a sharp 1.6 per cent drop in the second quarter, driven largely by tariffs on steel, cars, lumber and aluminium, and broader trade uncertainty that hurt exports. The manufacturing sector—about 10 per cent of GDP—is especially exposed to U.S. tariffs. The weakening in extraction and manufacturing underscores how external trade pressures are still hampering Canada’s economic performance.

What this means for policy

With the economy showing signs of a potential rebound yet still fragile amid external headwinds, the Bank of Canada will be watching closely. Its recent forecast for Q3 growth stood at around 0.5 per cent. While avoiding recession is positive, the modest pace of growth and persistent external vulnerabilities may limit the central bank’s options and adjustment room.

Outlook: how Canada moves forward

Looking ahead, growth largely hinges on a firmer September and recovery in sectors hit by trade and labour disruptions. Should monthly output rebound as the advance indicator suggests, Canada will likely escape a recession. But persistent global trade tensions, weak manufacturing and extraction output, and spotty service-sector strength mean that the road to sustained growth remains bumpy.

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