Victoria police bring a wanted man back from the U.S. after a cross-border investigation linked to CSAM charges and escape from custody.

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Canadians Keep Steering Clear of U.S. Trips

Canadians are hitting the brakes on travel south of the border, while U.S. visitors are increasingly crossing into Canada. According to the latest figures from Statistics Canada, this trend shows no signs of reversing anytime soon.

Last February, Canadians returning from trips to the U.S. dropped to 1.5 million, down 14.5% compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, trips by U.S. residents to Canada jumped 6.1%, reaching 959,600—the first increase in a full year.

More Canadians Heading Overseas

It’s not that Canadians aren’t travelling—they’re just choosing destinations outside the U.S. Return trips from overseas by air hit 1.3 million in February 2026, marking a 7.2% increase from the year before. For the second month in a row, Canadians returning from overseas by air outnumbered those returning from the U.S. by car.

“This signals a clear shift in travel patterns,” said Statistics Canada, highlighting Canadians’ growing interest in international destinations beyond their southern neighbour.

U.S.-Canada Tensions Keep Travelers Away

The reluctance to travel to the U.S. traces back to early 2025, when tensions escalated over trade disputes and political jabs. Public opinion mirrors the statistics: a July 2025 Ipsos poll revealed that about three-quarters of Canadians plan to avoid U.S. travel, up 10 points since February 2025.

Even trips by Canadian pedestrians and personal vehicles crossing into the U.S. have dropped sharply—18.8% and 15.4%, respectively, according to U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

U.S. Visitors See the Opportunity

Meanwhile, U.S. residents are finding reasons to visit Canada. In February 2026, 720,400 trips were made by car, up 6.4%, and 239,200 by air, up 4.9%. Peaks in arrivals happened around mid-February, just before U.S. President’s Day.

Overseas visitors are also increasing their Canadian stays. February saw a 10.5% rise in arrivals from abroad compared to last year, with more overseas travellers flying in than driving.

Looking Ahead

Even as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed trade and global issues, travel trends suggest Canadians are still cautious about heading south. And despite political talks and tariff pauses, the Canadian preference for non-U.S. destinations continues to shape the travel landscape.

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Canadian Military Models Unthinkable: A U.S. Invasion

For the first time in a century, Canada’s armed forces have modeled a hypothetical U.S. invasion, envisioning how the country might respond. While the idea sounds like a plot from a thriller, officials stress this is purely conceptual—there’s no plan to fight the world’s most powerful military.

Instead, the military is exploring unconventional tactics, drawing inspiration from the Afghan mujahedeen and Taliban, including ambushes, sabotage, and hit-and-run operations. Small groups of armed civilians or irregular forces would aim to slow an occupying army, much like insurgents did in Afghanistan.

Why Canada Is Thinking About This

The modeling comes amid tensions over Greenland, which U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly suggested the U.S. should acquire. He has also mused about Canada becoming the 51st state and voiced concerns over Canadian Arctic defenses.

Officials say planners envision a U.S. invasion from the south, potentially overwhelming Canada’s strategic positions within days. Yet, they emphasize an actual invasion is highly improbable. Relations with the U.S. military remain positive, and both nations are cooperating on continental defense initiatives, including the new “Golden Dome” system to counter Russian or Chinese missile threats.

The Unconventional Playbook

Canada’s military lacks the personnel and heavy equipment needed to repel a conventional U.S. attack. That’s why the focus is on unconventional warfare. Officials and retired generals suggest tactics could mirror Afghanistan-era operations: ambushes, sabotage, drones, and improvised explosives.

Retired Major-General David Fraser points out that Canada could use drones and anti-tank weapons like Ukraine did against Russia, while also relying on international support from Britain, Germany, Japan, and other allies.

Preparing for the Worst, Hoping for the Best

While the threat of a U.S. invasion is extremely low, Canada is taking homeland defense seriously. Military planners envision up to three months to prepare if the threat were real, potentially mobilizing volunteers and reserve forces. Experts say a conventional invasion would be impossible to repel fully, but insurgency tactics could make occupation costly and slow.

Political scientists and defense experts agree: even if a U.S. attack is unlikely, Canada must strengthen its defense posture to signal that it can defend itself effectively. Doing so acts as a deterrent and ensures national security without triggering conflict.

A Global Backstop

Canada would not stand alone. Retired officials note that a serious threat could draw global support. European nations, NATO allies, and other democratic countries would likely assist, reinforcing Canadian sovereignty. The message is clear: Canada may not be able to defeat a superpower in open battle, but occupying it would be far from easy.

Bottom Line:
Canada’s military is playing out a worst-case scenario that most consider implausible, but the exercise underscores the need for strong homeland defense. Guerrilla tactics, international support, and rapid response planning would be central to any real defense effort—just in case.

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Rumours Rise as U.S. Actions Spark Anxiety

First Venezuela. Then Greenland. Now Canada?

In recent weeks, U.S. President Donald Trump’s bold military move in Venezuela and his sharp words about American dominance have stirred unease well beyond Washington. As a result, online speculation exploded. Some wondered whether Canada could ever face U.S. military pressure.

However, defence experts say that idea belongs firmly in the realm of fiction. In simple terms, they call it far-fetched.

Venezuela Fuels Fears—but Context Matters

On January 3, U.S. forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro during a military operation. Because many countries, including Canada, never recognized Maduro’s government, the action shocked but did not surprise foreign policy watchers.

Meanwhile, Trump renewed threats about Greenland, arguing the U.S. must act before rivals like Russia or China do. At the same time, he repeated his vision of restoring American dominance across the Western Hemisphere.

Because of this, polls now show nearly one-third of Canadians believe the U.S. might try “direct action” against Canada. Even so, experts urge calm.

“Off the Table,” Say Defence Experts

Former chief of the defence staff Gen. Tom Lawson did not mince words. According to him, any U.S. military move that puts American troops face-to-face with Canadians simply will not happen.

He explained that such a scenario carries massive risk and zero strategic reward. Therefore, Washington would avoid it at all costs. In addition, he stressed that unpredictability alone makes the idea unworkable.

NATO: The Ultimate Deterrent

Canada’s NATO membership changes everything.

Under NATO’s Article 5, an attack on one member counts as an attack on all. Consequently, a U.S. strike on Canada would trigger a global crisis—one that would instantly shatter the alliance itself.

Even though Trump continues to criticize NATO burden-sharing, he still insists the U.S. will stand by the alliance. Because of that, experts see military action against Canada as self-defeating.

Voices From Washington Agree

Trump’s former national security adviser, John Bolton, also dismissed the idea. He warned that any attack on Canada would destroy NATO and severely weaken the Western world.

Although Bolton described Trump as impulsive, he emphasized that Canada remains safe from military aggression. Still, he cautioned that repeated threats alone damage U.S. credibility and trust.

Take the Rhetoric Seriously—but Not Literally

Some scholars urge vigilance rather than panic.

Henry Giroux of McMaster University said the threat should not be ignored, even if it remains unlikely. He argued that U.S. actions in Venezuela signal a troubling return to militarized politics and economic domination.

Likewise, Roland Paris of the University of Ottawa stressed that Canada and its allies must defend sovereignty and international rules. While he sees no immediate military danger, he warned that economic pressure from Washington remains a real risk.

Canada’s Military Reality Check

Even though an invasion seems unrealistic, Canada faces its own defence challenges.

The Canadian Armed Forces struggle with personnel shortages and aging equipment. Fighter jets and submarines need replacement, and recruitment gaps persist. As of 2024, the military lacked about 16,500 troops.

Recognizing this, Prime Minister Mark Carney approved major pay increases and launched reforms to improve readiness. He also created a new joint forces command to strengthen coordination across the military.

The Bottom Line

Despite fiery rhetoric and global tension, experts agree on one clear point: U.S. military action against Canada is not happening.

History, alliances, shared borders, and simple logic all stand in the way. Still, as world order shifts and rules weaken, Canada and its allies must stay alert, prepared, and united.

The post Is U.S. Military Action Against Canada Even Possible? first appeared on Maple News Wire.

Fewer Snowbirds Heading South as U.S. Tightens Rules

Survey Points to Declining Interest

A new industry survey suggests a notable drop in the number of Canadian snowbirds planning winter travel to the United States. According to Snowbird Advisor, which polled 4,000 frequent seasonal travellers, only 70% intend to head south this year—down from 82% last winter. The findings reflect shifting sentiment as many Canadians reconsider U.S. travel amid heightened regulatory pressures.

New Requirements Reshape Winter Travel

Travel behaviour is changing largely due to new U.S. rules targeting long-term visitors. Under an executive order introduced early in President Donald Trump’s second term, travellers staying more than 30 days must formally register with the U.S. government. Immigration attorney Ksenia Tchern McCallum, licensed in both Canada and the United States, says the updated framework is already reshaping expectations at the border.

Border Scrutiny Expected to Increase

Travellers who proceed with their plans can expect stricter checks upon entry. Tchern McCallum notes that U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers face increased pressure under ongoing immigration crackdowns. She advises Canadians to carry thorough documentation—including financial records, insurance policies, and return itineraries—to demonstrate that they remain anchored to Canada and intend to return home. Failing to comply with new rules could carry hefty fines or even jail time, she warns.

Shifting Relations Influence Travel Choices

The travel downturn also aligns with cooling diplomatic relations between Canada and the U.S. Trump’s recent threats of tariffs and annexation have prompted some Canadians to boycott cross-border travel entirely. Statistics Canada reported that U.S. passenger traffic dropped to 1.2 million travellers in October, an 8.9% decline year-over-year and the ninth consecutive month of falling numbers.

Canadians Look Beyond the U.S.

While fewer Canadians are planning U.S. trips, interest in overseas destinations is rising. Snowbird Advisor reports that 23% of respondents plan to travel internationally this winter—nearly double last year’s figure. President Stephen Fine says this will be the first season to fully reflect Canadians’ response to escalating diplomatic tensions and regulatory changes.

Longtime Travellers Reconsider Plans

For some seasoned snowbirds, the decision has already been made. Cobourg, Ontario retiree Bob Bloomer, who spent two decades wintering in Orlando for golf season, cancelled his trip in March and says he will not return as long as Trump remains in office. “Not going back,” he said, echoing a sentiment shared by many frustrated travellers.

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Europe Accuses Putin of Faking Commitment to Peace

Tensions Surge After U.S.–Russia Meeting in Moscow

Ukraine and its European allies accused Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday of only pretending to pursue peace, a day after U.S. envoys spent five hours in talks at the Kremlin with no breakthrough. The meeting, attended by U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and presidential adviser Jared Kushner, was meant to explore a path toward ending the nearly four-year war triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

European Ministers Challenge Putin’s Motives

European officials rejected the idea that Moscow is moving toward genuine compromise. U.K. Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper urged Putin to “end the bluster and the bloodshed” and back a “just and lasting peace.” Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha accused Putin of “wasting the world’s time,” underscoring Kyiv’s view that Russia is stalling while continuing its offensive operations.

Competing Narratives Cloud Peace Efforts

On Tuesday, Putin accused European governments of undermining U.S.-led diplomacy and warned that Russia would be ready for war with Europe if provoked. European leaders dispute that claim, noting that they—and the U.S.—have spent billions supporting Ukraine since 2022. Under President Donald Trump, Washington has scaled back some aspects of military support while attempting to accelerate a negotiated settlement.

Stalled Talks Over Territory Remain Key Obstacle

Following Tuesday’s talks, Putin’s foreign policy adviser Yuri Ushakov said discussions were “positive” but confirmed no compromise had been reached on the fate of four partially occupied Ukrainian regions Russia claims as its own. Ukraine has ruled out surrendering territory. Ushakov said peace is “not further” away but cautioned that major work remains for both Washington and Moscow.

Secrecy Adds Uncertainty to Negotiation Process

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected the suggestion that Putin dismissed the U.S. peace proposal leaked last month, which many Europeans criticized as favouring Russian demands. Peskov declined to release details of the meeting, arguing that negotiations are more productive when conducted quietly. The lack of transparency has left allies unsure how far Washington is prepared to pressure either side.

Europe Reinforces Support for Ukraine

Foreign ministers from NATO’s European members, meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, expressed impatience with Russia’s stance. Estonia’s Margus Tsahkna said Putin is “pushing more aggressively on the battlefield,” showing no interest in compromise. Finland’s Elina Valtonen said a full ceasefire would be the most credible sign of Russian goodwill. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte noted that while peace talks continue, Ukraine must remain militarily reinforced to withstand Russian pressure.

Uncertain Road Ahead for Negotiators

With negotiations stalled and positions hardening, the direction of peace efforts now largely depends on U.S. strategy: whether Washington applies more pressure to Moscow, or expects Kyiv to consider concessions it has long rejected. For now, neither side appears ready to shift, leaving Europe, Ukraine, and the United States navigating an uneasy mix of diplomacy and ongoing conflict.

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Allies to Meet as Ukraine, U.S. Rework Peace Framework

Tensions Surface Over Initial Proposal

Ukraine and the United States have begun reshaping a contentious peace proposal after Kyiv and several European partners objected to elements they viewed as favouring Russia. Talks in Geneva on Sunday produced what both sides described as a “refined peace framework,” though neither government disclosed details. The revisions come after Washington introduced a 28-point plan last week that surprised Ukraine and its allies, setting a Thursday deadline for Kyiv to respond.

Delegation Returns as Concerns Mount

Ukraine’s negotiating team returned home Monday to brief President Volodymyr Zelenskyy following the first round of discussions. Key unresolved issues include long-term security guarantees and how reconstruction would be funded if a deal is reached. Addressing a separate summit of partner nations in Sweden, Zelenskyy stressed that Ukraine continues working with the U.S. and Europe to reach compromises that “strengthen but do not weaken” the country.

Push for Accountability and Security

Zelenskyy repeated that Moscow must bear financial responsibility for the destruction caused by the war and urged allied nations to unlock frozen Russian assets. He warned that the conflict is at a “critical moment,” and said any agreement must provide real protection against future aggression. European Commission officials confirmed that leaders from the so-called “coalition of the willing,” which includes Canada, will meet virtually Tuesday to review the status of the talks.

UK Confirms Meeting Amid Diplomatic Strains

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said European partners remain focused on securing a “just and lasting peace,” acknowledging there has been “progress” but “more work to do.” The meeting follows concerns among European governments that the evolving U.S. plan could force Ukraine to make unwelcome concessions, particularly on territory and military capacity.

Pressure from Washington Continues

U.S. President Donald Trump has urged Ukraine to move quickly toward an agreement, though Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the Thursday deadline may be flexible. Zelenskyy is expected to travel to the U.S. this week to discuss the most sensitive provisions directly. Trump reignited tensions Sunday by criticizing what he called a lack of appreciation from Ukraine’s leadership, echoing past disputes that strained relations during his first term.

Controversial Origins of Initial Plan

The original U.S. draft was reportedly developed during a private meeting in Miami involving Trump-aligned figures and sanctioned Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev. Democratic lawmakers criticized the proposal as reflecting Russian demands—including territorial concessions and limits on Ukraine’s NATO ambitions—claims the U.S. negotiators have rejected. In response, European partners released a counter-proposal offering stronger security guarantees and fewer territorial compromises.

Russia Awaits Official Briefing

Moscow said it had received no formal information on the Geneva discussions. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov dismissed media reports suggesting the revised plan might allow Ukraine to pursue NATO membership in the future, calling the matter “too complex” for speculation.

War Intensifies as Diplomacy Evolves

As negotiations continue, fighting remains active across several regions. Russia claimed advances in Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk, though the reports could not be independently verified. In Moscow, airports temporarily halted traffic after a Ukrainian drone was intercepted Monday, according to city officials. Meanwhile in Kharkiv, a major drone strike over the weekend killed at least four people, underscoring the urgent need for a viable path to de-escalation.

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Canada Surges Ahead in Tourism Amid U.S. Travel Decline

A Sector Thriving Despite Trade Tensions

Canada’s ongoing trade dispute with the United States—fueled by tariffs on steel, aluminum and persistent economic uncertainty—has placed pressure on several industries. Yet tourism has emerged as a rare success story. As international visitors rethink travel to the U.S. due to political polarization, stricter border enforcement, and safety concerns, Canada is experiencing a record-setting rebound.

Shifting Travel Patterns Across the Border

Newly released travel data shows a sharp decline in Canadian trips to the United States throughout 2025. Return trips by Canadians fell by 21% for air travel and 33.5% for land crossings, a trend linked directly to the political climate under President Trump and his administration’s tightened border controls.
Meanwhile, U.S. tourism authorities now expect a 3.2% drop in international visitor spending—a loss projected at $5.7 billion USD—as Canadian travellers, historically the U.S.’s largest foreign visitor group, increasingly stay away.

Political Climate Reshaping Traveller Choices

A recent Angus Reid survey reveals that 77% of Canadians have developed a more negative perception of travelling to the U.S. this year. Respondents cite concerns about border crackdowns, rising entry barriers, and a desire to support Canada amid ongoing trade tensions. High-profile incidents involving ICE detainments and restrictive entry procedures have further amplified a sense of unpredictability for cross-border trips.

Canada’s Tourism Boom Takes Centre Stage

As Canadians rethink U.S. travel, much of that spending has been redirected domestically. Destination Canada reports $3.3 billion in additional tourism revenue from May to August alone—an unprecedented surge driven by both local and international visitors.
Domestic tourism rose 7%, with travellers favouring provincial and cross-Canada trips over U.S. vacations. Overseas spending increased as well, climbing 10.4%, even as U.S. visitors dipped slightly.

Global Travellers Drawn North of the 49th Parallel

Surveys conducted in Europe earlier this year indicate that Canada’s reputation for safety, stability, and friendliness is playing a substantial role in attracting overseas tourists. Over 52% of European respondents said the political climate in the U.S. made them more inclined to choose Canada.
Industry researchers note that Canada is currently positioned as a top global destination—benefiting indirectly from tensions affecting U.S.–Europe relations and concerns about border policies south of the border.

Looking Ahead to 2026 and Global Events

While the U.S. anticipates a rebound in 2026 due to hosting FIFA World Cup matches and its 250th anniversary celebrations, new barriers could complicate that recovery. A planned $250 “visa integrity fee” for certain international visitors has raised concerns that it may further suppress foreign travel.
Canada, also hosting World Cup games, is expected to capitalize on global attention, especially as travellers seek destinations perceived as secure, welcoming, and culturally vibrant.

A Rare Canadian Advantage in a Trade-Strained Era

As trade disputes continue to unsettle economic sectors across North America, tourism stands out as a domain where Canada is not only weathering the storm but thriving. Experts say that unless the political and border environment in the U.S. shifts significantly, Canada may continue to hold a competitive edge in the North American travel landscape.

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Canadian Visits Drop, U.S. Tourism Takes the Hit

The United States is facing a major tourism setback as Canadian travellers continue to avoid visiting south of the border. A new report from the U.S. Travel Association projects a 3.2 per cent decline in international tourism spending in 2025, translating into a $5.7 billion US loss compared with 2024.

The association attributes much of the downturn to a sharp fall in Canadian visitors—a trend that began when President Donald Trump returned to office in January and reignited trade tensions with Canada.

Sharp Decline by Air and Land

Recent data show a steep decline in cross-border travel. In October, the number of Canadian return trips to the United States fell 24 per cent by air and 30 per cent by land compared with the same month last year. The decrease marks ten consecutive months of decline, erasing much of the rebound seen after the pandemic.

Canadians have historically represented the largest group of foreign visitors to the United States—28 per cent of 72.4 million tourists in 2024—but this share has dropped dramatically in 2025.

Economic Fallout Across Key States

Experts warn that the contraction is already affecting employment and tax revenue in tourism-dependent regions.
“The tourism sector is labour-intensive and a major employer,” said Usha Haley, professor of management at Wichita State University. “Lower hotel occupancy reduces labour demand, cuts tax collection, and pressures municipal finances.”

Border states such as New York, Florida, and Washington report weaker hospitality revenues. The United States, once boasting a travel trade surplus, now faces a projected $70 billion US deficit as more Americans travel abroad than international visitors arrive.

Political Tensions and Traveller Sentiment

Many Canadians cite political reasons for staying away. An Angus Reid Institute poll of 1,607 respondents found 70 per cent are uncomfortable visiting the U.S. this winter, citing the trade dispute, border restrictions, and the current political climate.

Since April, new registration rules have also discouraged long-stay visitors, requiring Canadians spending more than 29 days in the U.S. to register, provide fingerprints, and pay a $30 US fee.

Canadians Seek Alternatives

Canadian “snowbirds” who once flocked to Florida are now choosing destinations such as Costa Rica, Turks and Caicos, China, and Taiwan.
Toronto resident Rena Hans, a long-time Florida property owner, said she will not return while the Trump administration remains in power.
“I can’t vote in the U.S., but I can vote with my dollars,” she said.

Border Communities Respond

Tourism agencies near the Canadian border are attempting to rebuild interest. Discover Kalispell, in northwest Montana, has introduced a Canadian Welcome Pass offering up to 26 per cent discounts at hotels and restaurants through January 15, 2026.
“We’ve missed our Canadian guests,” said Diane Mettler, the organization’s executive director. “This is our way of showing they’re still welcome.”

Outlook: Recovery May Take Time

Analysts expect a modest recovery in 2026, coinciding with the FIFA World Cup and the U.S. 250th anniversary celebrations. However, experts caution that rebuilding confidence among Canadian travellers will take longer if political and border tensions persist.

“As long as policies make visitors feel unwelcome, restoring trust will take far more effort than losing it did,” Haley noted.

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Ottawa launches action against Stellantis

The federal government has begun a formal dispute resolution process against automaker Stellantis N.V. after the company announced plans to shift Jeep Compass production from Brampton, Ontario, to Belvidere, Illinois.
Industry Minister Mélanie Joly told a parliamentary committee on Monday that the decision breaches contractual commitments linked to billions in taxpayer-funded incentives.

Billions in public funds on the line

Ottawa and the Ontario government jointly committed about $15 billion to help Stellantis and partner NextStar Energy, a joint venture with LG Energy Solution, build an electric-vehicle battery plant in Windsor.
They also offered hundreds of millions more to retool the automaker’s Windsor and Brampton facilities for EV production.
Joly said the federal government will now take “the next step under the contracts to recover Canadian taxpayers’ money.”

The trigger for the government’s move

The conflict surfaced in September when Stellantis revealed that plans to build the next-generation Jeep Compass in Brampton were being scrapped.
Production is instead being relocated to Illinois, a move Ottawa says violates conditions tied to Canadian subsidies.
Joly confirmed that the 30-day formal dispute period began Monday, marking the start of the process to restore jobs and production in Brampton.

Confidential contracts under scrutiny

Officials from Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada said details of the Stellantis contracts remain confidential due to commercial sensitivity.
Assistant Deputy Minister Stephanie Tanton told MPs that the government is working with the company “to be able to disclose the agreement,” while Deputy Minister Philip Jennings acknowledged that some contract terms “appear to be at risk of breach.”

Automaker denies job losses

Stellantis maintains that “no jobs have been lost” in Brampton, insisting that the plant is “paused, not closed.”
Company spokesperson LouAnn Gosselin said employees are being offered transfers to other Stellantis facilities and that the company continues to work “constructively with government partners” to secure Brampton’s long-term future in automotive manufacturing.

Political pressure builds over transparency

Conservative MP Raquel Dancho criticized the Liberal government for withholding details of multi-billion-dollar subsidies, calling for greater accountability.
Joly responded that Ottawa and Ontario remain united in seeking to restore production in Brampton, adding, “We all want the same thing—bringing back production and protecting Canadian autoworkers.”

Next steps in the dispute

The government’s 30-day dispute resolution period is now underway.
If unresolved, Ottawa may pursue further legal or financial remedies under its contract with Stellantis to recover subsidies or compel production commitments.
As Canada continues its transition to electric-vehicle manufacturing, the outcome of this dispute could shape how future auto-sector deals are structured and enforced.

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