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India at the G7 Table: Power Play or Pitfall?

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Canada invites India to the 2025 G7 Summit amid trade tensions and diaspora unrest, signaling a major shift in global diplomacy and economic strategy.

When Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney extended a formal invitation to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to attend the 2025 G7 Summit in Kananaskis, Alberta, it sent a strong message far beyond diplomatic courtesies. The decision marks a dramatic shift in Canada’s foreign policy, repositions India as a central player in global governance, and reignites debate over balancing strategic interests with domestic accountability.

Notably, the invitation coincides with the second anniversary of the assassination of Canadian citizen Hardeep Singh Nijjar, an event that has sharply strained Canada–India relations. The RCMP has charged four Indian nationals in connection with the murder, while allegations of state involvement remain a major source of political tension and diaspora outrage.

The Global Context: G7’s Expanding Circle

India’s invitation is not unprecedented but undeniably more symbolic this year. It highlights the G7’s increasing shift toward inclusive global governance—acknowledging that global economic challenges, climate change, and tech disruptions require participation from the world’s fastest-growing economies.

  • India is the world’s fifth-largest economy
  • A key player in Indo-Pacific security and trade
  • A rising power in critical minerals, semiconductors, and AI

In this light, Canada’s move—despite legal and political risks—represents a calculated pivot to engage India as a necessary partner in solving transnational issues. The pressure from other G7 nations to include India was intense, and Carney’s government likely saw exclusion as isolating both Canada and India from vital conversations.

Domestic Blowback: The Sikh Diaspora Speaks

The timing, however, has drawn severe criticism from Canada’s Sikh communities. Activist groups and civil rights organizations accuse the federal government of abandoning justice for diplomatic convenience.

“It’s unimaginable that Canada would invite leaders from Russia or Iran amid unresolved allegations of extrajudicial killings on Canadian soil—yet India is being welcomed,” said Jasdeep Atwal, legal director at the World Sikh Organization.

The move threatens to widen the trust deficit between Ottawa and its Sikh diaspora, particularly in British Columbia and Ontario, where political mobilization is strong and memories of Nijjar’s death remain raw.

Trade & Economics: Tariffs, Tensions, and Opportunity

Beyond diplomacy, this invitation opens a new front in Canada’s evolving trade strategy. Amid rising protectionism and supply chain disruptions, both nations are seeking economic diversification and resilience.

Global Trade War Underpinnings

  • Canada is currently locked in a trade war with the U.S., facing 25% tariffs on metals, EV components, and some agrifood products. In retaliation, Canada imposed equivalent tariffs on USD 20B worth of U.S. goods.
  • India imposed a 25% levy on select Canadian exports in early 2025, mirroring global trends in retaliatory trade policy.

While these disputes complicate bilateral and multilateral agreements, sectoral partnerships and micro-deals can offer economic escape routes.

How India and Canada Can Still Benefit – Even Under Tariff Strain

Despite the barriers, there are clear areas where both countries can benefit economically, even without a full free trade agreement:

1. Critical Mineral & Clean Energy Collaboration

Canada is rich in critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, and graphite—key for India’s clean energy goals. India’s expanding EV and battery sectors are hungry for secure supplies.

  • Canada secures an alternative to Chinese export dependencies
  • India accesses stable, high-quality raw materials
  • Both benefit from a resilient and diversified supply chain

2. Agri-Tech and Food Security

India remains a top importer of Canadian lentils, pulses, and oilseeds. With India battling inflation and climate impacts on domestic farming, Canadian agricultural exports provide relief.

  • Canada secures stable buyers amid China’s agri import slowdown
  • India ensures nutritional stability at predictable pricing

3. Technology and AI Co-Development

India offers scale, while Canada offers R&D depth. Joint initiatives in AI, cybersecurity, healthcare tech, and EdTech can build shared intellectual property and exportable solutions.

  • Collaborations in AI-powered diagnostics, language translation, and green AI
  • Shared investment in digital infrastructure for government and enterprise

4. Student and Skilled Workforce Mobility

With over 250,000 Indian students in Canada and an ongoing tech talent shortage, mobility frameworks can benefit both economies.

  • Canada’s education and immigration goals are met
  • India gains global experience for its workforce and returnee knowledge capital

5. Sectoral Tariff Optimizations

Even without CEPA, sector-specific deals can reduce friction:

  • Temporary tariff holidays on strategic goods
  • Mutual recognition agreements on medical devices, food safety, and digital services
  • WTO-compliant carve-outs for renewable technologies

Conclusion: Realignment or Risk?

Canada’s invitation to India at this critical juncture is more than symbolism—it’s an effort to reset relationships, recalibrate trade alliances, and reposition Canada within a turbulent global economy.

Yet, this pivot comes with a price. If mishandled, it may erode public trust and deepen diaspora grievances. If executed with transparency and justice, it could redefine Canada’s role as a bridge between Western democracies and emerging powers.

The G7 Summit in Kananaskis will not just be about global declarations. It will be a test of Canada’s ability to balance values with vision, justice with pragmatism, and sovereignty with diplomacy.

For MapleNewswire, this moment is a front-row seat to a world in transition—and a story that underscores how nations, like people, must learn to walk multiple paths at once.

 

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