Toronto’s 2026 mayoral race heats up behind the scenes as top contenders like Chow and Tory test support, fundraise, and recruit teams ahead of the campaign.
Toronto’s 2026 Mayoral Race Gains Steam Behind the Scenes
Early Moves from Political Heavyweights
With the next Toronto mayoral election set for October 26, 2026, the city’s political landscape is already shifting as potential candidates quietly prepare their campaigns. Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow, former mayor John Tory, and other prominent figures are gauging public support, assembling advisory teams, and laying financial groundwork well ahead of official announcements.
Campaigns Begin with Strategy and Fundraising
According to political insiders, early fundraising and recruitment are underway. Former city councillor Joe Mihevc likens the current period to a primary season, where organization and financial viability are paramount. Viable campaigns must secure over $1 million to compete effectively across Toronto’s 1.9 million eligible voters, experts say.
Centre-Right Candidates Eye Chow’s Seat
Strategists suggest that much of the early activity is concentrated among centre-right contenders aiming to consolidate support before challenging Chow directly. The primary objective is to clear the political lane of similar candidates to avoid splitting votes. “The real competition right now isn’t Chow,” said Mihevc, “it’s the other contenders on the right.”
Chow’s Record Could Face Scrutiny
Elected in 2023, Mayor Olivia Chow has not confirmed if she will run again, though sources close to her expect she will. Her tenure includes achievements like the New Deal with the province involving major infrastructure uploads, but also two consecutive property tax hikes — 9.5% and 6.9% — that could become campaign flashpoints.
John Tory Considers a Comeback
John Tory, who resigned amid scandal in 2023, is reportedly weighing a return to politics. While he hasn’t confirmed his intentions, his past record and connections could bolster a new campaign. However, his resignation cost the city an $11.7 million byelection, and critics may use his affair and the integrity commissioner’s findings to question his suitability.
Emerging Contenders Testing Support
Other political figures are also positioning themselves. Ana Bailao, who came in second in 2023, hasn’t ruled out another run. Journalist Anthony Furey and Councillor Brad Bradford are also open to running, emphasizing infrastructure and governance reform. Meanwhile, former Liberal MP Marco Mendicino is rumored to be exploring a bid.
A Smaller, Sharper Field Expected
Unlike the chaotic 2023 byelection, which drew over 100 candidates, experts anticipate a narrower, more competitive field in 2026. Serious contenders are already crafting strategy, building war chests, and preparing for a race that — while still over a year away — has effectively begun.
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