HomeCanadian CitiesHotter-Than-Normal Summer Forecast for Quebec

Hotter-Than-Normal Summer Forecast for Quebec

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Environment Canada forecasts a warmer summer in Quebec. Experts urge public to prepare for heatwaves and adapt to climate-driven weather extremes.

Quebec Set for Above-Average Heat This Summer

Quebec is expected to experience a hotter-than-normal summer, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC)’s latest seasonal forecast, released Tuesday. The projection aligns with national trends showing elevated summer temperatures across much of Canada.

National Forecast Highlights Warming Conditions

While the ECCC forecast does not predict exact dates for heatwaves, meteorologist Jennifer Smith emphasized the importance of preparation. “When a heat wave hits and lasts several days, it’s important to have a plan,” she said, urging Quebecers to monitor local weather alerts, stay hydrated, and check in on vulnerable neighbours.

Climate Change Amplifying Heat Trends

The rising temperatures are part of a broader pattern driven by climate change. Since 1948, Canada’s average summer temperature has increased by 1.8°C. Quebec, situated in the rapidly warming northern hemisphere, is warming at nearly twice the global average, according to climate research group Ouranos.

Rising Health Risks From Extreme Heat

Health impacts from extreme heat are becoming more severe. “We know heat is a big contributor to cardiovascular and respiratory issues,” said Chris McCray, climatologist at Ouranos. Heat-related deaths in Quebec currently average 470 per year, with projections suggesting that number could double or triple by 2040.

Air Quality Threatened by Western Wildfires

Although Quebec’s wildfire risk is near seasonal norms, wildfires in Western Canada—already burning at three times the 10-year average—may impact Quebec’s air quality. Smoke can travel thousands of kilometres, worsening conditions for those with respiratory illnesses. Residents are advised to monitor the Air Quality Health Index and ECCC’s wildfire smoke maps.

Infrastructure, Economy Face Growing Pressure

The economic toll of extreme heat is also rising. Quebec already incurs $3.6 billion annually in climate-related costs, and that figure could multiply significantly. McCray warned that much of Quebec’s infrastructure was built for a different climate and may not withstand the increasing frequency of heatwaves and flooding caused by extreme rainfall.

Urgent Need for Adaptation

Experts agree that while global emissions must be reduced, Quebec must also adapt locally. Solutions include planting trees, expanding green infrastructure, and reducing paved surfaces in urban areas. “These steps can reduce urban heat islands and improve climate resilience,” said McCray. “We’re already in a changed climate—now we need to respond.”

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